When Will Home Heating Costs Decline?

With winter weather hitting hard, homeowners in the U.S. are experiencing the problem of home heating costs. Recent years have seen a notable increase in energy rates, leaving many in search of answers and relief. Uncover what affects home heating prices, the recent trends we’ve seen and strategies to keep your utility bills in check.

Different Kinds of Home Heating Fuel

A number of fuels are used for home heating in the United States:

  • Natural gas heats 48% of American homes.
  • Heating oil heats 5% of homes.
  • Propane is used in another 5%.
  • Electricity warms 40% of U.S. homes. Fossil fuels are still the most used source for creating electricity despite the increase in renewable energy sources like wind and solar. 

What Are the Key Influences on the Rates of Fossil Fuels?

Considering the above information, it’s evident that fossil fuels heat a large majority of North American households. Supply and demand is the most significant factor causing price fluctuations. An increase in supply—triggered by higher production and storage rates—usually lowers prices, while a surge in demand—triggered by harsh weather, a thriving economy and rising rates for alternative fuels—can cause prices to soar.

Exactly How Much Has the Cost of Natural Gas Risen?

Domestic natural gas production outpaced consumption starting in 2017, resulting in an overall price decline in all of 2018. But, demand has increased significantly recently across all sectors, causing natural gas prices to achieve heights not seen in roughly a decade.

In 2022, the average wholesale cost of U.S. natural gas hit its highest price since 2008, reaching an average of $6.45 per million British thermal units (MMBtu). This surge represented a tremendous leap of greater than 53% from the previous year, marking it as one of the sharpest annual increases ever recorded.

Several factors led to the unpredictable rise and instability of natural gas prices last year. In early 2022, production hiccups caused by freeze-offs and a significant draw from natural gas reserves nudged prices way up. Robust liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports to Europe and other countries, combined with a surge in domestic demand because of cold weather, stretched the price range even further.

In the spring of 2022, prices jumped past $9/MMBtu, only to drop by 40% following the fire and subsequent closure of the Freeport LNG export terminal. This incident sharply cut U.S. LNG exports and redirected more natural gas to storage. However, as the summer heat eased, prices climbed again, reaching a peak in late August.

Shifting into the fall, an uptick in natural gas production and higher-than-average injections into storage saw prices fall closer to the five-year average. Yet, as temperatures fell, the demand for heating caused prices to rise once more.

When Will Prices Cool Down?

The fluctuations in natural gas prices highlight the complicated interplay of factors influencing home heating fuel rates. As we look onward to the rest of the 2023-24 heating season, the market’s past behavior offers insights into future price patterns and the prospect of cost-saving measures.

As of late 2023, prices have come down from their previous highs thanks to robust production and reasonably mild temperatures. While demand continues to be steady, forecasters are predicting prices around $3.44/MMBtu this winter, giving some respite for house owners as we move through the heating season.

Tips to Trim Your Heating Bill

No matter how you heat your home or what prices are like, you can take several helpful steps to increase energy efficiency and reduce your heating bills. Here are a couple of suggestions:

  • Seal drafty windows and doors with caulk and weatherstripping.
  • Use curtains to your advantage, throwing them open during the day for free light and heat and then pulling them back over the windows in the evenings to insulate your windows.
  • Increase your attic insulation to prevent heat from rising out of your home.
  • Buy a smart thermostat that learns your behavior and helps you save money.
  • Reduce the temperature on your thermostat when you’re out to avoid overheating an empty house.
  • Wear warmer clothes inside your residence so you aren’t forced to crank up the thermostat.
  • Plan yearly furnace maintenance to keep your heating system in top shape.
  • Set up a whole-house humidifier. Moist air feels warmer than dry air, so you feel more comfortable at a lower temperature.

Keep Cozy and Warm in the U.S. with Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing

Nothing is of greater importance to the Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing team than your comfort and safety. Our heating solutions can also help bring down home heating costs, which is great news for your pocketbook. With ACE-certified technicians at the helm, you can expect quick, long-lasting solutions to all your comfort needs. Our company’s 100% satisfaction guarantee means that if you’re not totally happy with our services, you know we will make things right.

As a company that prides itself on innovation, customer engagement and community involvement, you can trust Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing to make a meaningful difference in your life and enjoyment of your residence. For more insights into heating prices in the U.S. or personalized methods to help lower your utility bills, contact the professionals at Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing. Call 866-397-3787 today to learn more.

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